DBRS Confirms A (high) Rating on Liberbank Cédulas Hipotecarias

DBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS) has today confirmed the A (high) rating on the single stand-alone Cédula Hipotecaria (CH, Spanish mortgage covered bonds) issued by Liberbank S.A. (Liberbank or the Issuer). The confirmation follows the completion of a full review of the rating.

The rating is based on the following analytical considerations:
-- A Covered Bonds Attachment Point (CBAP) of BBB. Liberbank is the Issuer and Reference Entity for the programme. There is no Critical Obligations Rating associated with Liberbank, but DBRS considers Spain as a jurisdiction for which covered bonds are a particularly important financing tool. As such, the CBAP is set at the level of the Issuer Rating plus one notch.
-- A Legal and Structuring Framework (LSF) Assessment of Average associated with Liberbank CH.
-- A Cover Pool Credit Assessment (CPCA) of BBB (low) being the lowest CPCA in line with the LSF-Implied Likelihood.
-- An LSF-Implied Likelihood (LSF-L) of A (low).
-- A two-notch uplift for high recovery prospects.
-- A level of overcollateralisation (OC) of 203% to which DBRS gives credit, being the minimum observed OC level during the past 12 months adjusted by a scaling factor of 0.90.

The transaction was modelled using the DBRS European Covered Bond Cash Flow Model. The main assumptions focused on the timing of defaults and recoveries of the assets, interest rate stresses and market value spreads to calculate liquidation values on the cover pool.

Everything else being equal, a downgrade of the CBAP by one notch would lead to a downgrade of the LSF-L by one notch, resulting in a downgrade of the covered bonds rating by one notch. In addition, everything else being equal, the CH ratings would be downgraded if any of the following occurred: (1) the CPCA were downgraded below BBB (low); (2) the sovereign rating of the Kingdom of Spain were downgraded below A (low); (3) the LSF Assessment associated with the programme were downgraded; (4) the quality and consistency of the cover pool were no longer sufficient to support a two-notch uplift for high recovery prospects; (5) the relative amortisation profile of the CH and of the cover pool were to move adversely, or (6) volatility in the financial markets caused the currently estimated market value spreads to increase.

As of today, the total outstanding amount of CH was EUR 2.2 billion, while the aggregate balance of the mortgages in the cover pool as of December 2016 was EUR 9.8 billion, resulting in a total overcollateralisation (OC) of 354%. The eligible cover pool stands at EUR 8.5 billion, resulting in an eligible OC of 294%.

As of December 2016, the cover pool amounted to EUR 9.8 billion, split between 86.2% residential and 13.8% non-residential mortgages. The cover pool comprises 147,353 mortgage loans with a weighted-average loan-to-value of 53.0%. It is geographically distributed mainly in Asturias (25.7%), Cantabria (25.5%) and Extremadura (17.6%). The pool is 8.2 years seasoned and the reference rate of the underlying loans is primary floating (95.0%), all loans being originated in euros.

As is customary in the Spanish market, the CH holders do not receive the benefit of any swap contract to hedge the mismatches between the interest yield by the cover pool (95.0% floating rate linked to different indexes and resets) and the interest due on the CH (49.0% paying fixed). The interest rate risk is partially covered by the high level of OC available.

As of today, the WA life of the assets was roughly ten years while that of the covered bonds is roughly two-and-a-half years. This generates an asset-liability mismatch that is partly mitigated by the available OC.

For further information on Liberbank CH, please refer to the rating report available at www.dbrs.com.

DBRS has applied the new Structured Credit methodology, published on 19 July 2016, to perform the analysis of the non-residential portion of the pool. For further information, please see “Rating CLOs Backed by Loans to European SMEs.”

DBRS has assessed the LSF related to Liberbank CH as Average according to its rating methodology. For more information, please refer to the DBRS commentaries “Spanish Mortgage Covered Bonds: Legal and Structuring Framework Review” and “DBRS Assigns Legal and Structuring Framework Assessment to Spanish Mortgage Covered Bonds Programmes,” available at www.dbrs.com.

Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology applicable to the rating is: “Rating European Covered Bonds.” This can be found at http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.

Other methodologies and criteria referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release. DBRS has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology. A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the documents have remained unchanged since the most recent rating action.

For a more detailed discussion of sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to DBRS’s “The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area” commentary at http://www.dbrs.com/industries/bucket/id/10036/name/commentaries/.

The sources of data and information used for this rating include dynamic default performance data, loan-by-loan data and cover pool stratification tables provided by Liberbank that allowed DBRS to further assess the portfolio.

DBRS considers the information available to it for the purposes of providing this rating to be of satisfactory quality.

DBRS did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis. At the time of initial rating, DBRS was not supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.

DBRS does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.

The last rating action on this programme took place on 16 May 2016, when DBRS confirmed the rating on Liberbank CH following the completion of the annual review.

The lead analyst responsibilities for this transaction have been transferred to Alessandra Maggiora.

Information regarding DBRS ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies is available on www.dbrs.com.

For further information on DBRS historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.

Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU regulations only.

Lead Analyst: Alessandra Maggiora, Senior Financial Analyst
Rating Committee Chair: Vito Natale, Senior Vice President
Initial Rating Date: 11 March 2014

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The rating methodologies and criteria used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.

-- Rating European Covered Bonds
-- Rating European Covered Bonds Addendum: Market Value Spreads Range (Midpoints)
-- Global Methodology for Rating Banks and Banking Organisations
-- Critical Obligations Rating Criteria
-- DBRS Criteria: Support Assessments for Banks and Banking Organisations
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
-- Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
-- European RMBS Insight Methodology
-- European RMBS Insight: Spanish Addendum
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Originators
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers
-- Rating CLOs and CDOs of Large Corporate Credit
-- Rating CLOs Backed by Loans to European SMEs
-- Unified Interest Rate Model Methodology for European Securitisations
-- The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area

A description of how DBRS methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/research/278375.