DBRS Confirms Ratings on the Notes Issued by MARCHE M6 S.r.l.
RMBSDBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS) has today confirmed the ratings on the Class A1 notes, Class A2 notes and Class A3 notes (the Class A notes) issued by MARCHE M6 S.r.l. (MM6 or the Issuer) at AAA (sf).
The confirmation of the ratings on the Class A notes reflects an annual review of the transaction and is based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies and defaults, as of the April 2017 payment date.
-- Portfolio default (PD) rate, loss given default (LGD) and expected loss assumptions for the remaining collateral portfolio.
-- Current available credit enhancement (CE) for the Class A notes to cover the expected losses at the AAA (sf) rating level.
MM6 is a securitisation of Italian first lien mortgage loans originated and serviced by Nuova Banca delle Marche S.p.A. (NBDM), previously Banca delle Marche S.p.A. On 10 May 2017, NBDM was acquired by Unione di Banche Italiane S.p.A.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
The portfolio is performing within DBRS’s expectations. As of the April 2017 payment date, the 90+ delinquency ratio had been stable over the year and it is currently at 0.65% of the performing collateral portfolio. The current cumulative default ratio (as a percentage of the original portfolio balance) has increased over the year to 2.88% from 2.18%.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS
DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis on the remaining pool and updated the PD and LGD assumptions on the remaining collateral pool. At the AAA (sf) rating level, the PD and LGD assumptions, including the sovereign adjustment, are 28.86% and 27.98%, respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The credit enhancement (CE) available to the Class A notes has continued to increase as the transaction continues to deleverage. The current CE consisting of the subordination features stands at 36.74%, up from 29.48% as of last year. The Reserve Fund is available to cover senior fees and interest shortfall on the Class A notes and it is currently at its target level of EUR 36.6 million.
BNP Paribas Securities Services, Milan branch and BNP Paribas Securities Services, London branch act as Italian and English Account Bank for the transaction, respectively. DBRS’s private ratings of the Account Banks comply with the minimum institution rating, given the ratings assigned to the Class A notes, as described in DBRS’s “Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.
J.P. Morgan Securities plc is the Swap Counterparty to the transaction. The private DBRS rating of J.P. Morgan Securities plc is above the First Rating Threshold defined in DBRS’s “Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.
Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology applicable to the rating is: “Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology”.
DBRS has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.
A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the legal documents have remained unchanged since the most recent rating action.
Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.
These may be found on www.dbrs.com at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.
For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to DBRS commentary “The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area” on: http://www.dbrs.com/industries/bucket/id/10036/name/commentaries/.
The sources of data and information used for these ratings include payment and investor reports from Securitisation Services S.p.A. and loan-level data from the European DataWarehouse GmbH.
DBRS did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.
At the time of the initial rating DBRS was not supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.
DBRS considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing these ratings to be of satisfactory quality.
DBRS does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.
The last rating action on this transaction took place on 22 June 2016, when DBRS confirmed the AAA (sf) rating on the Class A notes.
Information regarding DBRS ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies, is available on www.dbrs.com.
To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS considered the following stress scenarios, as compared to the parameters used to determine the rating (the “Base Case”):
-- DBRS expected a Base Case PD and LGD for the portfolio based on a review of the current assets. Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to base case assumptions and, therefore, have a negative effect on credit ratings.
-- The base case PD and LGD of the pool of mortgages for the Issuer are 6.61% and 5.11%, respectively. At the AAA (sf) rating level, the corresponding PD is 28.86% and the LGD is 27.98%.
-- The Risk Sensitivity overview below illustrates the ratings expected if the PD and LGD increase by a certain percentage over the base case assumption. For example, if the LGD increases by 50%, the rating of the Class A notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), assuming no change in the PD. If the PD increases by 50%, the rating for the Class A notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), assuming no change in the LGD. Furthermore, if both the PD and LGD increase by 50%, the rating of the Class A notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf).
Class A1 notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
Class A2 notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
Class A3 notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
For further information on DBRS historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (“ESMA”) in a central repository, see: http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.
Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU regulations only.
Lead Analyst: Antonio Di Marco, Senior Financial Analyst
Rating Committee Chair: Vito Natale, Head of EU RMBS & CBs
Initial Rating Date: 16 July 2013
DBRS Ratings Limited
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The rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
-- Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers
-- Master European Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Rating Methodology and Jurisdictional Addenda
-- Unified Interest Rate Model for European Securitisations
-- Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
A description of how DBRS analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/research/278375.
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