DBRS Downgrades IM Sabadell RMBS 2 Fondo De Titulizacion De Activos and Removes UR-Neg.
RMBSDBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS) has today downgraded the rating on the Class A Notes issued by IM Sabadell RMBS 2 Fondo De Titulizacion De Activos (the Issuer or IM Sabadell RMBS 2 FTA) to BBB (sf) from A (sf) and has removed the Class A Notes from its Under Review with Negative Implications (UR-Neg.) status.
IM Sabadell RMBS 2 FTA is a residential mortgage-backed securities transaction originated and serviced by Banco de Sabadell, S.A. (Banco Sabadell or the Servicer) and closed in June 2008.
The Class A Notes rating was placed UR-Neg. on 21 March 2017 following a significant renegotiation amount of interest rates to fixed from floating rates (see 21 March 2017 “DBRS Takes Rating Actions on IM Sabadell RMBS 2 FTA” on www.dbrs.com).
The downgrade of the Class A Notes reflects an full review of the transaction based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Changes on the composition of the current portfolio after a significant renegotiation amount of interest rates to fixed from floating rates.
-- No limits in the transaction documentation to further renegotiations.
-- Portfolio performance in terms of delinquencies and defaults, as of the April 2017 payment date.
-- Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD) and expected loss assumptions for the remaining portfolio collateral.
-- The current available credit enhancement (CE) to the Class A Notes to cover expected losses at the BBB (sf) rating level.
INTEREST RATE RISK
Over the last few months, the Servicer has renegotiated a significant amount of interest rates to fixed from floating rates. Over the last two payments dates, the portfolio showed a stable fixed/floating composition trend. The fixed interest-rate loan portion amounts increased to 25.02% of the performing portfolio collateral balance as of 31 March 2017 from 2.23% and 1.33% as of closing and January 2016, respectively. That represents an increased interest rate risk caused by a mismatch between the interest rates in the assets and liabilities as the transaction has been unhedged since 22 February 2016, when the interest rate swap agreement was terminated.
The renegotiations seem to be the result of two specific commercial campaigns undertaken by Banco Sabadell. Since they ended, DBRS has observed a much more stable portfolio composition and has removed the UR-Neg. status on the Class A Notes as a result: 25.01% of the portfolio already paid a fixed interest rate at the end of November 2016, so there has been hardly any further increase since. Nevertheless, and given the lack of limits to further renegotiations under the transaction documentation, there is no guarantee that the percentage of loans paying a fixed interest rate will not continue to increase and DBRS has considered further stresses in its analysis.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of April 2017, the loans more than 90 days in arrears were at 0.38% of the outstanding performing portfolio collateral balance. Defaults are defined as loans in arrears for more than 12 months; the current cumulative defaults are at 1.99% of the initial portfolio collateral balance.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS
DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis on the remaining pool and updated its PD and LGD assumptions on the remaining portfolio collateral pool to 9.75% and 15.21% at the current rating level, respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The Class A Notes are supported by two classes of subordinated notes (Class B and C Notes) and a Reserve Fund (RF). As of the April 2017 payment date, CE for the Class A Notes as a percentage of the non-defaulted mortgage loans has been stable at 9.00% since DBRS’s last annual review. All three classes of notes in the transactions are currently amortising pro rata.
The transaction also benefits from an amortising RF, which is currently at the target level (EUR 19.79 million), 4% of total outstanding balance of the Notes. The RF covers both interest and principal payment shortfall on all three classes of Notes.
Banco Santander S.A. (Santander) acts as Account Bank for this transaction. The account bank reference rating of ‘A’ – being one notch below the DBRS public Long-Term Critical Obligations Rating of Santander of A (high) – complies with the Minimum Institution Rating, given the rating assigned to the most senior class of rated notes in each transaction, as described in DBRS’s “Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.
Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology applicable to the rating is: “Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology.”
DBRS has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.
A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the legal documents have remained unchanged since the most recent rating action.
Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.
These may be found on www.dbrs.com at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.
For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to DBRS commentary “The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area” on:
http://www.dbrs.com/industries/bucket/id/10036/name/commentaries/.
The sources of data and information used for this rating include an investor report from InterMoney Titulización S.G.F.T., S.A. and loan-level data from the European DataWarehouse GmbH.
DBRS did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.
At the time of the initial rating, DBRS was not supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.
DBRS considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing this rating to be of satisfactory quality.
DBRS does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.
The last rating action on this transaction took place on 21 March 2017, when DBRS downgraded the Class A Notes to A (sf) from AA (sf) and placed the rating UR-Neg.
Information regarding DBRS ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies, is available on www.dbrs.com.
To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS considered the following stress scenarios, as compared to the parameters used to determine the rating (the Base Case):
-- DBRS expected a lifetime base case PD and LGD for the pool based on a review of the current assets. Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to base case assumptions and therefore have a negative effect on credit ratings.
-- The Base Case PD and LGD assumptions for the remaining portfolio collateral are 3.33% and 12.10%, respectively. At the BBB (sf) rating level, the corresponding PD is 9.75% and the LGD is 15.21%.
-- The Risk Sensitivity overview below illustrates the ratings expected if the PD and LGD increase by a certain percentage over the Base Case assumption. For example, if the LGD increases by 50%, the rating on the Class A Notes would be expected to be at BBB (sf), assuming no change in the PD. If the PD increases by 50%, the rating on the Class A Notes would be expected to be at BBB (sf), assuming no change in the LGD. Furthermore, if both the PD and the LGD increase by 50%, the rating on the Class A Notes would be expected to be at BBB (low) (sf).
Class A Notes risk sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of BBB (low) (sf)
For further information on DBRS historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.
Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU regulations only.
Lead Analyst: Antonio Di Marco, Senior Financial Analyst
Rating Committee Chair: Vito Natale, Senior Vice President
Initial Rating Date: 2 March 2011
DBRS Ratings Limited
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The rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.
-- Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology
-- European RMBS Insight: Spanish Addendum
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers
-- Unified Interest Rate Model for European Securitisations
A description of how DBRS analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/research/278375.
ALL MORNINGSTAR DBRS RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO DISCLAIMERS AND CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. PLEASE READ THESE DISCLAIMERS AND LIMITATIONS AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION REGARDING MORNINGSTAR DBRS RATINGS, INCLUDING DEFINITIONS, POLICIES, RATING SCALES AND METHODOLOGIES.