DBRS Upgrades Ratings on FCT Marsollier Mortgages

DBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS) upgraded its ratings on the following bonds issued by FCT Marsollier Mortgages (the Issuer):

-- Class C Notes upgraded to AAA (sf) from AA (sf)
-- Class D Notes upgraded to AA (high) (sf) from A (sf)
-- Class E Notes upgraded to AA (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)

The rating assigned to the Class C Notes addresses the timely payment of interest and ultimate payment of principal. The ratings assigned to the Class D and Class E Notes address the ultimate payment of interest and ultimate payment of principal.

The upgrade of the ratings on the Class C to E Notes (together, the Rated Notes) follows an annual review of the transaction and is based on the following analytical considerations:

-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies and defaults, as of June 2017.
-- Default, recovery and loss assumptions for the remaining collateral pool.
-- Current available credit enhancement to the Rated Notes to cover the expected losses at their current rating levels.

FCT Marsollier Mortgages is a securitisation of French residential mortgages originated by Bearimmo (part of JP Morgan Bank Dublin Plc) and granted to borrowers in the non-conforming segment of the French mortgage market. The portfolio is serviced by MCS & Associés SA (MCS).

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of June 2017, two- to three-month arrears were at 2.11%, and the 90+ delinquency ratio was at 1.07%. Current cumulative defaults are at 21.51%.

CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
As of June 2017, credit enhancement to the Class C Notes was 92.51%, up from 42.48% at the September 2012 payment date. Credit enhancement to the Class D Notes was 58.95%, up from 25.43% at the September 2012 payment date. Credit enhancement to the Class E Notes was 38.29%, up from 14.92% at the September 2012 payment date. Credit enhancement to each class of Rated Notes consists of subordination of junior classes.

As of June 2017, the non-amortising Liquidity Reserve Fund was at the target level of EUR 6.47 million. The Liquidity Reserve Fund is available to cover senior fees and interest shortfall on the Class C Notes. After the Class C Notes have been fully redeemed, the Liquidity Reserve Fund will be available to cover any interest shortfall on Classes D and E.

BNP Paribas Securities Services, SCA acts as the account bank for the transaction. The DBRS private rating of BNP Paribas Securities Services, SCA complies with the Minimum Institution Rating, given the rating assigned to the Class C Notes, as described in DBRS’s “Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.

Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology applicable to the ratings is the “Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology”.

DBRS has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.

A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the legal documents have remained unchanged since the most recent rating action.

Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.
These may be found on www.dbrs.com at http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.

For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to the DBRS commentary “The Effect of Sovereign Risk on Securitisations in the Euro Area” at http://www.dbrs.com/industries/bucket/id/10036/name/commentaries

The sources of data and information used for these ratings include reports and loan-level data provided by France Titrisation (the Management Company) and MCS.

DBRS did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.

At the time of the initial rating, DBRS was supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.

DBRS considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing these ratings to be of satisfactory quality.

DBRS does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.

The last rating action on this transaction took place on 19 August 2016, when DBRS upgraded the ratings on the Class B, Class C, Class D and Class E Notes to AAA (sf), AA (sf), A (sf) and BBB (low) (sf), respectively.

Information regarding DBRS ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies is available at www.dbrs.com.

To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS considered the following stress scenarios, as compared with the parameters used to determine the rating (the Base Case):
-- DBRS expected a lifetime Base Case probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) for the pool based on a review of the current assets. Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to Base Case assumptions and therefore have a negative effect on credit ratings.
-- The Base Case PD and LGD of the current pool of mortgages for the Issuer are 74.91% and 9.73%, respectively. At the AAA (sf) rating level, the corresponding PD is 84.41% and the LGD is 33.37%.
-- The Risk Sensitivity overview below illustrates the ratings expected if the PD and LGD increase by a certain percentage over the base case assumption. For example, if the LGD increases by 50%, the rating of the Class C Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), assuming no change in the PD. If the PD increases by 50%, the rating for the Class C Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), assuming no change in the LGD. Furthermore, if both the PD and LGD increase by 50%, the rating of the Class C Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf).

Class C Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf).
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf).

Class D Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf).

Class E Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (sf).
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (sf).
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (sf).
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (sf).

For further information on DBRS historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.

Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU and US regulations only.

Lead Analyst: Andrew Lynch, Assistant Vice President
Rating Committee Chair: Christian Aufsatz, Managing Director
Initial Rating Date: 13 August 2012

DBRS Ratings Limited
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Registered in England and Wales: No. 7139960

The rating methodologies and criteria used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.

-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
-- Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers
-- Master European Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Rating Methodology and Jurisdictional Addenda
-- Unified Interest Rate Model for European Securitisations

A description of how DBRS analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/research/278375.